Sunday, January 06, 2008
The Presidential Election 2008 - How I see it now
I have to prefix these two posts by saying that it is early days yet, and however I see things today, I would be surprised if everything appears in November, as it does today. I am certainly open to having my mind changed.
For November, Republicans are hoping that the Democrats nominate someone who is beatable, as their party is in a shambles now and they don’t appear to have much chance of beating a strong Democratic ticket.
Of the 3 leading Democrats:
Clinton is probably the smartest, but something about her is just really difficult to like. It may not be politically correct, but some people would vote against her because she is a woman. It never ceases to surprise me how many women hate ambitious women! She could still probably beat whoever came up against her, but only probably.
Obama is the most likeable and easily the most lightwieght. His lack of experience could count against him. Forget Iowa, there are states where his colour will count against him. And he occasionally says things that highlight his inexperience. Bomb Pakistan? Anyone with a kid at or approaching drafting age should be very nervous of talk like that. The result would make Afghanistan seem Disneyland! He would probably be the easiest one for the Republican dirty tricks people to undermine.
Edwards is also very likeable and he appears to be the one who, in a General Election, would be the most difficult for the Republicans to overcome. If nothing else, and forgive the honesty please, he is neither a Woman nor a Black Man, so people will need to find other excuses to vote against him. I had thought he was a clear number 3 - and he may still be. But the longer the campaign goes on, the more I like this guy. Very smart, very knowledgeable and he has a conscience.
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For November, Republicans are hoping that the Democrats nominate someone who is beatable, as their party is in a shambles now and they don’t appear to have much chance of beating a strong Democratic ticket.
Of the 3 leading Democrats:
Clinton is probably the smartest, but something about her is just really difficult to like. It may not be politically correct, but some people would vote against her because she is a woman. It never ceases to surprise me how many women hate ambitious women! She could still probably beat whoever came up against her, but only probably.
Obama is the most likeable and easily the most lightwieght. His lack of experience could count against him. Forget Iowa, there are states where his colour will count against him. And he occasionally says things that highlight his inexperience. Bomb Pakistan? Anyone with a kid at or approaching drafting age should be very nervous of talk like that. The result would make Afghanistan seem Disneyland! He would probably be the easiest one for the Republican dirty tricks people to undermine.
Edwards is also very likeable and he appears to be the one who, in a General Election, would be the most difficult for the Republicans to overcome. If nothing else, and forgive the honesty please, he is neither a Woman nor a Black Man, so people will need to find other excuses to vote against him. I had thought he was a clear number 3 - and he may still be. But the longer the campaign goes on, the more I like this guy. Very smart, very knowledgeable and he has a conscience.
